In Brief

Tropical Storm Gabrielle is forecast to strengthen into a hurricane by Sunday while passing east of Bermuda. Though major landfall is not expected, residents face dangerous surf, possible gusty winds and rainfall.

Key Points

  • Gabrielle is forecast to become a hurricane by Sunday.
  • The storm is expected to pass east of Bermuda, without making direct landfall.
  • Bermuda may still experience gusty winds, rainfall, and dangerous surf.
  • No tropical storm or hurricane warnings are currently in effect, but alerts could follow.
  • The NHC emphasizes uncertainty in intensity and precise impact timing—conditions may change.

September 20, 2025 | Atlantic Basin— The National Hurricane Center (NHC) has updated its forecast for Tropical Storm Gabrielle, warning that the system is likely to become a hurricane as it skirts east of Bermuda.

Context / Background

Gabrielle is the latest in the 2025 Atlantic tropical storm season. As of the most recent advisories, the storm is located several hundred miles southeast of Bermuda, moving northwestward. Meteorologists report that wind shear is easing, sea surface temperatures are favorable, and Gabrielle may find more conducive conditions to intensify over the next 24–48 hours. The Weather Channel+2WPTV News Channel 5 West Palm+2

Although models agree that Gabrielle will turn north/northeast later, forecasts still carry some uncertainty in strength and exact proximity to Bermuda. The Weather Channel+2WPTV News Channel 5 West Palm+2

Current Conditions & Forecast

  • As of the latest report, Gabrielle has sustained winds of about 50 miles per hour. AP News+1

  • It is expected to intensify, possibly reaching hurricane strength by Sunday. WPTV News Channel 5 West Palm+2The Weather Channel+2

  • Forecast models project Gabrielle to pass east of Bermuda Sunday into Monday; however, conditions on the island may still be impacted. WPTV News Channel 5 West Palm+2The Weather Channel+2

    • Impacts & Warnings

    Though a direct landfall is not expected, Bermuda should prepare for:

  • Large swells that are already reaching the coastline, likely increasing in size through the weekend. WPTV News Channel 5 West Palm+2The Weather Channel+2

  • Dangerous surf and rip currents, potentially life-threatening, especially for swimmers and marine activities. WPTV News Channel 5 West Palm+1

  • Periods of rain and gusty winds, which may accompany outer bands of the storm. Tropical storm conditions cannot be ruled out. WPTV News Channel 5 West Palm+1

    • No watches or warnings have been issued yet for Bermuda, but the NHC and local authorities urge residents to stay alert. WPTV News Channel 5 West Palm+1

    Quotation

    “Gabrielle is still battling dry air and wind shear, but we expect those inhibiting factors to lessen over the next day or two,” NHC meteorologists said in their latest discussion.

    “While the center is likely to pass east of Bermuda, we cannot rule out tropical-storm-force winds or periods of heavy rain on the island.” The Weather Channel+1

    What’s Next

  • The National Hurricane Center will continue to issue updated forecasts and track models as Gabrielle evolves.

  • Residents and marine operators in Bermuda should monitor official advisories, especially if the storm strengthens faster than expected.

  • Coastal areas should prepare for high surf and possibly hazardous marine conditions even if the core of the storm stays offshore.

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